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Thursday, 20 September 2012

T20 World Cup Predictions

So the T20 World Cup in Sri Lanka has just begun. England are the reigning champs. But without KP who,  played magnificently in the previous T20 world cup, many say we haven't a chance this time around.  But I'm going to come more onto England's chances later on in this post. To start with, I'm going to go through some of the other candidates for the title...

Since Sri Lanka are the hosts, it seems only right to start with them.

And although they are the hosts, and the crowds will be 100% behind them, I just don't fancy them. I just don't think they have the quality to be able to defeat the other Asian teams if they come up against them.

But never the less, as hosts, they are still in with a outside shout of success. I don't know what the odds are for them to be victories, but I'd give them a 4/1 maybe.

Afghanistan, Ireland, Zimbabwe and Bangladesh next. And this summary is going to be short and sweet.

They all seem to play their hearts out (bless their cotton socks) but the quality just isn't there. Afghanistan for instance against India bowled well. But their fielding didn't leave much to be desired. I'm sure my local team could have mustered up a better fielding display than that. If I gave odds for them. It would be, Bangladesh, 25/1. Zimbabwe, 35/1. Ireland, 35/1 and Afghanistan 50/1. Sorry guys, but you just haven't got what it takes at this level.

West Indies next, and I think these guys actually stand a decent chance of doing well in this competition. If Gayle and Pollard can do what everybody knows they are capable of doing, then they are always going to be in with a shout. Whoever they play. It's their bowling attack which lets them down, even if Windies do rack up a big total. You always fancy the oppo (if there any good obviously) to have a good crack at reaching that total. For that reason, 10/1 for West Indies.

India are clearly going to be a big player in the tournament, they have the quality. We all know that, Kohli has been bang on form. Ashwin with the ball has been class, and Dhoni with gloves and bat at the end of a innings is capable of smashing the ball all over the park.

They are one of the favourites to snatch the cup, and the odds I'm going to give them reflect that. 7/2.

Pakistan next, the guys who beat India in a warm up match just a few days ago.

They too, have a fantastic chance of success. They have one of the greatest bowlers in the world at their disposal in Saeed Ajmal. Afridi is a brilliant player and they seem to have a good mix of players. They, like India, are one of the favourites. 7/2. The same as India.

New Zealand are underdogs in the tournament. They have more quality than sides such as Ireland, but I can't see them beating a team like India or Pakistan with so much at stake. They should get through their group but I wouldn't expect them to get past the super 8 stage. A 12/1 for New Zealand.

South Africa next. Now these guys, mean business. I really do fancy South Africa to do well. Amla has been on fire all year, and will undoubtedly play a big part in their campaign. de Villiers is a massive hitter, and has good experience in the kind of conditions in Sri Lanka from his days playing in the IPL. Steyn is a brilliant bowler, at the start of a innings and at the death. As is Morkel, if all of these players fire on all cylinders. I think the title could swing towards South Africa. My odds. 3/1

Australia are decent, but no better than decent. I can't seem them doing anything in the tournament. They easily beat Ireland but you would expect them to, but when they come up against India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, England, and even West Indies. I expect them to be right up against it. Super 8 will be where there tournament ends. 6/1 for the Aussies.

And finally, the three lions. England. I really think we do have a good chance of doing well. At least has been said and discussed in regard to the KP saga, and I totally think KP is in the wrong and he has to taste his medicine and not play for the foreseeable future. Even if it does mean our team will be weakened in the view of some fans for this tournament and the tour of India in the winter. But I think our team really will shine without him, players are coming in who haven't played very often for the three lions and they will be hungry to do well.

Also, the absence of Pietersen has made many people consider us not favourites (or one of the favourites) for the title. And that has made us underdogs. And when were underdogs, we tend to shine. And shine damn brightly. Take us becoming number one side in the world. We cruised past India as relative underdogs, but then after we became number one. We were diabolical against Pakistan in the UAE, and then against South Africa just recently we were second best. For this reason I really do think that we could do well in this title. The squad we have chosen (I am ecstatic Ravi has been left out) is good, they all have played a lot of T20 cricket against top quality players in England.

As for the moaners, please, just please. Be positive and actually get behind our side for once. Our odds, 4/1 in my opinion.

It's going to be tough, but I think we might just be able to raise a few eyebrows...

Cheers

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